LEO5 - The Five Lions Game

What is LEO5 - The Five Lions Game?

Across the market, operators delivered high double-digit gains compared with Labor Day weekend, which featured a full slate of college football games but no NFL contests. Two operators, DraftKings and Underdog each saw triple-digit growth, delivering weekly increases of 125% and 119%, respectively. Three others, Polymarket, Crypto.com and Novig, saw gains of at least 30%, led by Polymarket with a weekly increase of 46%.

One interesting nugget surrounds weekend figures at Kalshi, where volume on Sunday only surpassed prior daily activity by $34 million, BofA data shows. Typically, Sunday volume for the quarter dwarfs that of College Football Saturdays due to the voracious demand for NFL offerings. BofA analyst Shaun Kelley attributes the irregularity to the possibility that Kalshi is “over indexing” on college sports.

Kelley also cited improvements at Robinhood as a possible factor for the regression at Kalshi. Just before the NFL season, Robinhood took a minority stake in Crypto.com and struck a deal to begin routing NFL contracts to OG.com, the site’s regulated prediction market platform.

How to play LEO5 - The Five Lions Game

Over the past many years, one of complaints I heard from gambling people whenever bitcoin, cryptocurrencies or blockchain was brought up was why? followed by how?

The space is full of shills and promoters, people who are so invested in the price of a coin, they just want people buy more coins, make the price go up and ensure they get their Lambo.

The price of a coin is a shiny paintjob, it looks impressive and it earns tons of media coverage but there is so much more to Bitcoin, at least Bitcoin SV that gets lost in the hype surrounding the digital gold rush narrative. Bitcoin SV is an incredible technology that can solve some problems and create new opportunities for you and your gambling business.

How to play LEO5 - The Five Lions Game

While sports event contracts remain the headline-grabbers for prediction market operators, there’s evidence that other categories are experiencing growth. As Bernstein points out, cryptocurrency event contracts account for at least 20% of the turnover on the two largest prediction markets.

In another encouraging non-sports sign, one of those operators notched just $2 million in commodities volume last year, but that figure surpassed $410 million in August alone and is approaching $600 million on a year-to-date basis.

Bernstein estimates the global market for financial contracts will grow to $900 trillion by 2035, up from $700 trillion last year, and if prediction markets capture just 0.5% of that total, volume would increase by $4.7 trillion per year.